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CONCEPTS
- Plotting data allows us to more easily see trends in the data.
- In the case of data taken over a period of time, graphs also make
it easier to see what might occur in the future.
- The quantities of several greenhouse gases are increasing in our atmosphere.
The production of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs)
is now decreasing.
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MATERIALS
- Raw Data (provided below)
- Carbon Dioxide Concentrations, Mauna Loa, Hawaii in parts per
million by volume (ppmv)
- Methane Gas Concentration in parts per million by volume (ppmv)
- CFC (chlorofluorocarbon) Production
- Nitrous Oxide in parts per billion by volume (ppbv)
- Pencil
- Graph Paper
- Ruler
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PREPARATION
- Note that students can plot the data by hand or enter it into appropriate
computer software, depending upon the desires of the teacher, equipment
available, and level of the students.
- Divide the class into small research teams and assign each one table
of data.
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PROCEDURE
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Engagement
- Inform the students that they have been assigned a position
in a research institute dealing with global climate issues. A
research scientist has just given them some "raw" data
regarding greenhouse gases in Earth's atmosphere. Within a week
there will be a major international conference on global change.
The data need to be presented and organized in a meaningful and
useful way.
- Greenhouse gases allow the Sun's light to pass through them
to the surface of Earth, but they also absorb some of the infrared
radiation from Earth's surface. This creates an effect similar
to that in a greenhouse. Gases, like glass in a greenhouse, help
trap heat and keep it from escaping. There is concern over whether
increases in these gases are contributing to global
warming. The first step in investigating this is to determine
whether amounts of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have been
increasing.
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Activity
- Discuss where data come from, types of graphs available, what
a trend is, and how to project a trend.
- For at least one table of data, have the students plot the following
data points and connect them with a curve. There are four different
graphs, therefore make sure that all four are assigned so that
each can be discussed.
- Upon completion of the graph(s) have the students project the
trend of the curve for another 50 years.
- Have each group develop a conclusion for their particular chart.
Students with the same graph should get together and compare graphs
for accuracy and conclusions.
- Ask for a spokesperson for each graph to report a majority view
and a minority view (if one exists) for the data and projected
trends.
- Discuss the role of data analysis in scientific research. How
do choices in displaying data, for example as tables of data or
as graphs, affect communication?
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Explanation
- The graphs indicate the rising trend of several greenhouse gases,
which may or may not contribute to current global warming, but
which probably will if increases continue. Note however the decrease
in production of CFCs because of an international agreement to
reduce their production. CFCs not only are a greenhouse gas, but
more significantly damage the earth's ozone layer which protects
us from the Sun's harmful ultraviolet light.
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EXTENSION
- The following is an account of one scientist's study of carbon dioxide
concentrations in Earth's atmo-sphere. Students can read this as an
example of how science happens and where the numbers in Table 1 came
from.
- Dr. Charles David Keeling was the geochemist at Scripps Institute
of Oceanography who first studied atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2)
in the 1950s. He developed the first manometer to extract and measure
CO2 in parts per million (ppm) and set up a measurement
facility on Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii. Air found there has been well
mixed in the atmosphere and thus serves as a good example of global
average air.
- The first decade of his data showed the CO2
levels to be increasing at a rate of 1 ppm each year. After that, data
showed that CO2 levels are increasing at a faster
pace - about 1.5 ppm per year. In the last 40 years CO2
levels have increased form 315 ppm to 350 ppm. The trend indicates the
amount of CO2 in the earth's atmosphere will
likely continue its increase.
- The amount of CO2 and other greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere is increasing in large part due to human activity.
Average global temperatures are also increasing. Is there a connection?
It is not totally clear yet, but those who believe there is feel that
the amount of CO2 being pumped into the atmosphere
from human activities should be reduced.
- Discuss with your students the types of changes that can be made to
reduce CO2 emssions. What is their county, state,
or country doing (if anything) to help? Have the students ask older
family members or friends about the impact that reducing CFCs has had
on their daily lives. Do they feel changing their lifestyle or spending
habits to help reduce CO2 is worthwhile?
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VOCABULARY
- chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs): man-made substances used as coolant
and computer-chip cleaner, which have been shown to destroy stratospheric
ozone when they break down.
- global warming: increase in average global temperature. Some
of the increases are due to build-up of gases such as CO2
, NO2, and chlorofluorocarbons in the atmosphere
as a result of industrialization.
- greenhouse gas: atmospheric gas (water vapor, carbon dioxide,
methane) that absorb energy radiated from Earth's surface.
- manometer: an instrument for measuring the pressure of gases
and vapors.
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SOURCE
- From "Visit to an Ocean Planet" educational CD-ROM, Copyright
Caltech and NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory
- Adapted from Global Climate-Past, Present, and Future, S. Henderson
et al. (Eds.), Environmental Protection Agency Report No. EPA/600/R126,
pp. 77-89.
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Year |
Carbon Dioxide Concentrations, Mauna
Loa, Hawaii in parts per million by volume (ppmv) |
1958 |
314.8 |
1959 |
316.1 |
1960 |
317.0 |
1961 |
317.7 |
1962 |
318.6 |
1963 |
319.1 |
1964 |
319.4 |
1965 |
320.4 |
1966 |
321.1 |
1967 |
322.0 |
1968 |
322.8 |
1969 |
324.2 |
1970 |
325.5 |
1971 |
326.5 |
1972 |
327.6 |
1973 |
329.8 |
1974 |
330.4 |
1975 |
331.0 |
1976 |
332.1 |
1977 |
333.6 |
1978 |
335.2 |
1979 |
336.5 |
1980 |
338.4 |
1981 |
339.5 |
1982 |
340.8 |
1983 |
342.8 |
1984 |
344.3 |
1985 |
345.7 |
1986 |
346.9 |
1987 |
348.6 |
1988 |
351.2 |
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Year |
Methane Gas Concentration in parts per
million by volume (ppmv) [Gaps in the record between 1958-1975] |
1850 |
0.90 |
1879 |
0.93 |
1880 |
0.90 |
1892 |
0.88 |
1908 |
1.00 |
1917 |
1.00 |
1918 |
1.02 |
1927 |
1.03 |
1929 |
1.13 |
1940 |
1.12 |
1949 |
1.18 |
1950 |
1.20 |
1955 |
1.26 |
1956 |
1.30 |
1957 |
1.34 |
1958 |
1.35 |
1975 |
1.45 |
1976 |
1.47 |
1977 |
1.50 |
1978 |
1.52 |
1979 |
1.55 |
1980 |
1.56 |
1981 |
1.58 |
1982 |
1.60 |
1983 |
1.60 |
1984 |
1.61 |
1985 |
1.62 |
1986 |
1.63 |
1987 |
1.65 |
1988 |
1.67 |
1989 |
1.69 |
1990 |
1.72 |
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Year |
CFC (chlorofluorocarbon) Production
- CFCs include the manufactured gas combinations of chlorine,
fluorine, and carbon. These gases were not present in Earth's
atmosphere until the 1930šs.
- Values are in kilotons per year.
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1955 |
100 |
1957 |
120 |
1959 |
140 |
1961 |
150 |
1963 |
150 |
1965 |
200 |
1967 |
225 |
1969 |
290 |
1971 |
320 |
1973 |
375 |
1975 |
350 |
1977 |
360 |
1979 |
330 |
1981 |
325 |
1983 |
320 |
1985 |
340 |
1987 |
300 |
1989 |
305 |
1991 |
310 |
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Year |
Nitrous Oxide in parts per billion by
volume (ppbv) |
1750 |
283.0 |
1760 |
283.5 |
1770 |
284.0 |
1780 |
284.5 |
1790 |
285.5 |
1800 |
285.0 |
1810 |
286.0 |
1820 |
286.5 |
1830 |
287.0 |
1840 |
287.5 |
1850 |
288.0 |
1860 |
288.5 |
1870 |
289.0 |
1880 |
289.5 |
1890 |
290.0 |
1900 |
291.0 |
1910 |
292.0 |
1920 |
292.5 |
1930 |
293.0 |
1940 |
294.0 |
1950 |
295.0 |
1960 |
297.0 |
1970 |
299.0 |
1980 |
305.0 |
1990 |
310.0 |
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